[返回悉尼房产首页]·[所有跟帖]·[ 回复本帖 ] ·[热门原创] ·[繁體閱讀]·[坛主管理]

2021年房地产价格将再上涨20%:ANZ

送交者: Lk1970[♂☆★破虏大将军★☆♂] 于 2021-09-02 22:32 已读 35366 次  

Lk1970的个人频道

+关注
2021年房地产价格将再上涨20%:ANZ


By Bianca Dabu
 02 September 2021
尽管存在所谓的Delta阻尼器,但澳大利亚房地产市场仍处于良好状态。

在多个州和领地对住房部门实施新一轮封锁和限制的情况下,ANZ Research 指出,住宅价格继续飙升,尤其是在首府城市。

事实上,7 月份全国房价环比上涨 1.9%,首府城市悉尼(自 6 月以来一直处于封锁状态)和布里斯班成为增长最快的城市,当月上涨 2.1%。

澳新银行高级经济学家 Felicity Emmett 表示,在这种势头下,预计住宅价格将持续上涨到 2022 年。

因此,ANZ Research 将其对 2021 年的全国房价预测上调至 20.67%,预计所有首府城市的房价都将上涨。

堪培拉的增长率最高,为 24.46%,其次是霍巴特,23.5%,悉尼 23.34%,布里斯班 21.14%,墨尔本 20.45%,达尔文 18.76%,阿德莱德 15.79% ,珀斯为 11.22%。

但展望未来,增长可能会有所放缓,主要是由于“抵押贷款利率略高、负担能力下降以及宏观审慎紧缩的可能性”,澳新银行高级经济学家Adeleide Timbrell表示。

到 2022 年,澳大利亚的房价预计仅增长 6.71%。

尽管如此,根据 Timbrell 女士的说法,目前的价格势头表明,2021 年和 2022 年的价格增长可能会超过他们的预测,特别是如果宏观审慎紧缩政策被推迟。

但是,她指出,未来“Delta 变体的不确定性增加和延长的封锁可能会带来一些抵消性的下行风险”。

Property prices will surge another 20% in 2021: ANZ
By Bianca Dabu 02 September 2021

Despite the so-called “Delta dampener”, the Australian housing market remains in very good shape.


Amid a new wave of lockdowns and restrictions on the housing sector across several states and territories, ANZ Research has noted that dwelling prices are continuing to surge, particularly across capital cities.



In fact, national house prices rose 1.9 per cent month-on-month in July and of the capital cities, Sydney – which has been in lockdown since June – and Brisbane emerged as the fastest growing with a 2.1 per cent increase over the month.


With this momentum, dwelling prices are expected to continue rising through to 2022, according to ANZ senior economist Felicity Emmett.


As a result, ANZ Research has bumped up its national housing price forecast for 2021 to 20.67 per cent, with price growth anticipated for all capital cities.


Canberra is set to see the highest growth at 24.46 per cent, followed by Hobart with 23.5 per cent, Sydney with 23.34 per cent, Brisbane with 21.14 per cent, Melbourne with 20.45 per cent, Darwin with 18.76 per cent, Adelaide with 15.79 per cent, and Perth with 11.22 per cent.


But moving forward, there could be some slow down in growth, driven largely by “slightly higher mortgage rates, decreasing affordability, and the potential for macro-prudential tightening”, ANZ senior economist Adelaide Timbrell said.


By 2022, price growth is forecasted to grow by only 6.71 per cent across Australia.


Still, the current momentum in price suggests that price growth in both 2021 and 2022 could outpace their forecasts, particularly if macro-prudential tightening is delayed, according to Ms Timbrell.


However, she noted that “the increased uncertainty around the Delta variant and extended lockdowns could pose some offsetting downside risk” in the future.
贴主:Lk1970于2021_09_02 22:32:52编辑
楼主设置:谢绝布衣用户参与回复交流
喜欢Lk1970朋友的这个贴子的话, 请点这里投票,“赞”助支持!

内容来自网友分享,若违规或者侵犯您的权益,请联系我们

所有跟帖:   ( 主贴楼主有权删除不文明回复,拉黑不受欢迎的用户 )


用户名: 密码: [--注册ID--]

标 题:

粗体 斜体 下划线 居中 插入图片插入图片 插入Flash插入Flash动画


     图片上传  Youtube代码器  预览辅助



[ 留园条例 ] [ 广告服务 ] [ 联系我们 ] [ 个人帐户 ] [ 创建您的定制新论坛频道 ] [ Contact us ]